Europa League
· Round of 16
March 18, 2026 17:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.58
Actual xG
0.17
49%
Possession
51%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
28.45%
SC ←
37.39%
X
34.16%
Ferencvarosi
we assigned to the actual result (SC Braga)
28.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.30
1.58
+1.28
0.88
0.17
-0.71
SC Braga dominated by xG (1.58 vs 0.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
