Serie B
· Regular Season - 31
March 17, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Mantova
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
1.68
Actual xG
0.77
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
56.86%
Mantova ←
26.16%
X
16.98%
Cesena
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Mantova)
56.86%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.72
1.68
-0.04
0.70
0.77
+0.07
Mantova dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.77).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
