Championship
· Regular Season - 36
March 17, 2026 21:45
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
1.97
Actual xG
0.35
43%
Possession
57%
3
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
30.29%
Watford ←
26.31%
X
43.4%
Wrexham
we assigned to the actual result (Watford)
30.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
1.97
+1.07
1.59
0.35
-1.24
Watford dominated by xG (1.97 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.