Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 27
March 18, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Başakşehir, result Pareggio
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.41
Actual xG
1.13
68%
Possession
32%
2
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
60.18%
Başakşehir
26.31%
X ←
13.51%
Antalyaspor
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.41
-0.46
0.95
1.13
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
