Conference League
· Round of 16
March 19, 2026 19:45
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
7
0.28
Actual xG
3.18
30%
Possession
70%
1
Corners
10
Pre-match prediction
33.81%
AEK
33.18%
X
33.01%
Crystal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Crystal Palace)
33.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
0.28
-0.82
0.86
3.18
+2.32
Crystal Palace dominated by xG (3.18 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
