Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 20, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.70
Actual xG
1.10
36%
Possession
64%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
36.02%
Chapecoense-sc
31.89%
X ←
32.09%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.24
0.70
-0.54
0.90
1.10
+0.2
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.10 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
