2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 20, 2026 19:30
✓Model correct — prediction Hannover 96
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.96
Actual xG
1.17
50%
Possession
50%
10
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
56.2%
Hannover ←
26.43%
X
17.36%
Eintracht
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hannover 96)
56.2%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.96
-0.58
0.95
1.17
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (0.96 – 1.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
