Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 20, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
3
2.81
Actual xG
1.29
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
30.72%
Preston ←
20.74%
X
48.54%
Stoke
we assigned to the actual result (Preston)
30.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.74
2.81
+2.07
2.04
1.29
-0.75
Preston dominated by xG (2.81 vs 1.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.