Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 14:30
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
5
2.30
Actual xG
1.03
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
41.0%
Brighton ←
28.92%
X
30.08%
Liverpool
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
41.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
2.30
+0.93
1.26
1.03
-0.23
Brighton dominated by xG (2.30 vs 1.03).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
