Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
0.54
Actual xG
0.46
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Leeds
36.13%
X ←
30.59%
Brentford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
0.54
-0.26
0.96
0.46
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.54 – 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
