2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 14:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
8
2.44
Actual xG
1.19
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
49.95%
SC ←
23.02%
X
27.03%
Dynamo
we assigned to the actual result (SC Paderborn 07)
49.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
2.44
+0.64
1.64
1.19
-0.45
SC Paderborn 07 dominated by xG (2.44 vs 1.19).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.