Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 20:00
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
0.91
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
35.54%
Auxerre ←
33.15%
X
31.31%
Stade
we assigned to the actual result (Auxerre)
35.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
1.12
+0.23
0.89
0.91
+0.02
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.