← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 39 March 21, 2026 14:30
Derby
#8 · 69 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Birmingham
#10 · 63 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Derby
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
0
1.11
Actual xG
0.06
51%
Possession
49%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
50.14%
Derby ←
27.54%
X
22.32%
Birmingham
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Derby) 50.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Derby
1.48
1.11
-0.37
Birmingham
0.95
0.06
-0.89
Derby dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.06). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 45 92
2 Ipswich Ipswich 45 81
3 Millwall Millwall 45 80
4 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 45 79
5 Southampton Southampton 45 77
6 Wrexham Wrexham 45 70
7 Hull City Hull City 45 70
8 Derby Derby 45 69
9 Norwich Norwich 45 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 45 63
11 Swansea Swansea 45 61
12 Preston Preston 45 60
13 Bristol City Bristol City 45 59
14 QPR QPR 45 58
15 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 45 57
16 Watford Watford 45 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 45 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 45 54
19 Charlton Charlton 45 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 45 52
21 West Brom West Brom 45 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 45 47
23 Leicester Leicester 45 43
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 45 -3