Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Hull City
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
2.57
Actual xG
0.71
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
52.78%
Hull ←
33.23%
X
13.99%
Sheffield
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City)
52.78%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
2.57
+1.45
0.63
0.71
+0.08
Hull City dominated by xG (2.57 vs 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.