La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 21, 2026 17:15
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
5
1.73
Actual xG
1.56
66%
Possession
34%
12
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
34.77%
Espanyol
26.58%
X
38.65%
Getafe ←
we assigned to the actual result (Getafe)
38.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
1.73
+0.52
1.38
1.56
+0.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.73 – 1.56).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
