Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 21, 2026 19:45
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
2
1.33
Actual xG
0.33
50%
Possession
50%
3
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
43.93%
Sparta ←
29.84%
X
26.23%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Sparta Rotterdam)
43.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.33
+0.18
1.01
0.33
-0.68
Sparta Rotterdam dominated by xG (1.33 vs 0.33).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
