Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 21, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
0.82
Actual xG
1.08
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
51.52%
PEC ←
30.78%
X
17.7%
NAC
we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle)
51.52%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.82
-0.41
0.58
1.08
+0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
