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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 19:30
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 67 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Hamburger SV
#15 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
6.20
Actual xG
1.47
68%
Possession
32%
11
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
68.78%
Borussia ←
18.45%
X
12.77%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 68.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
2.29
6.20
+3.91
Hamburger
0.92
1.47
+0.55
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (6.20 vs 1.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22