MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 00:15
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
1
3.23
Actual xG
0.56
57%
Possession
43%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
48.58%
Nashville ←
25.68%
X
25.74%
Orlando
we assigned to the actual result (Nashville SC)
48.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.23
-1.27
0.70
0.56
-0.13
Nashville SC dominated by xG (3.23 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
