Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 21, 2026 03:00
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
2
2.78
Actual xG
0.41
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
30.04%
Necaxa ←
30.22%
X
39.73%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Necaxa)
30.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Necaxa
0.80
2.78
+1.98
Club
1.24
0.41
-0.83
Necaxa dominated by xG (2.78 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
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