Liga MX
· Clausura - 12
March 21, 2026 05:06
✗Model wrong — prediction Cruz Azul, result Pareggio
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
6
1.65
Actual xG
1.27
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
17.98%
Mazatlán
15.11%
X ←
66.92%
Cruz
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
15.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mazatlán
1.18
1.65
+0.47
Cruz
2.92
1.27
-1.65
Mazatlán dominated by xG (1.65 vs 1.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
