Serie A
· Regular Season - 30
March 21, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction AC Milan
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
7
1.43
Actual xG
2.22
63%
Possession
37%
4
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
52.22%
AC ←
26.57%
X
21.21%
Torino
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AC Milan)
52.22%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.43
-0.01
1.00
2.22
+1.22
Torino dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
