Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 22, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
1.17
Actual xG
1.39
52%
Possession
48%
12
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
37.03%
Bari
31.82%
X
31.16%
Carrarese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese)
31.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.17
-0.02
1.10
1.39
+0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 1.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
