Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 22, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
6
3.80
Actual xG
1.04
56%
Possession
44%
6
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
39.93%
Empoli ←
28.52%
X
31.55%
Pescara
we assigned to the actual result (Empoli)
39.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
3.80
+2.41
1.39
1.04
-0.35
Empoli dominated by xG (3.80 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
