Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 16:15
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
1
1.66
Actual xG
0.94
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
45.65%
Aston ←
29.41%
X
24.94%
West
we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa)
45.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.66
+0.38
1.28
0.94
-0.34
Aston Villa dominated by xG (1.66 vs 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
