Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 02:00
Match statistics
0
Shots on target
2
0.04
Actual xG
0.13
63%
Possession
37%
10
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
41.26%
Sao
28.76%
X
29.98%
Palmeiras ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palmeiras)
29.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
0.04
-1.72
1.10
0.13
-0.97
xG dominance was balanced (0.04 – 0.13).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
