Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.13
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
38.99%
Atletico ←
30.79%
X
30.22%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
38.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.86
-0.55
0.98
0.13
-0.85
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
