Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 23:30
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
0
3.83
Actual xG
0.46
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
45.69%
Internacional ←
28.47%
X
25.84%
Chapecoense-sc
we assigned to the actual result (Internacional)
45.69%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.90
3.83
+1.93
0.71
0.46
-0.25
Internacional dominated by xG (3.83 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
