2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 14:30
✗Model wrong — prediction VfL Bochum, result Holstein Kiel vince
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
4
0.97
Actual xG
1.93
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
58.86%
VfL
22.17%
X
18.97%
Holstein ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel)
18.97%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.89
0.97
-0.92
0.76
1.93
+1.17
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.97).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.