Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 18:15
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
4
0.60
Actual xG
0.97
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
46.54%
Marseille
24.79%
X
28.67%
Lille ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lille)
28.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.60
-1.0
1.18
0.97
-0.22
Lille dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.60).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
