Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 18:15
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
6
1.94
Actual xG
2.19
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
51.73%
Paris ←
31.42%
X
16.84%
Le
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC)
51.73%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.94
+0.78
0.60
2.19
+1.6
xG dominance was balanced (1.94 – 2.19).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
