Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 21:45
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
9
1.67
Actual xG
2.15
37%
Possession
63%
3
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
21.74%
Nantes
28.83%
X
49.44%
Strasbourg ←
we assigned to the actual result (Strasbourg)
49.44%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
1.67
+0.87
1.29
2.15
+0.86
Strasbourg dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
