La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 22, 2026 22:00
✓Model correct — prediction Real Madrid
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
7
2.42
Actual xG
1.00
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
58.32%
Real ←
21.25%
X
20.43%
Atletico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Real Madrid)
58.32%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
2.42
+0.38
1.10
1.00
-0.1
Real Madrid dominated by xG (2.42 vs 1.00).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.