Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 22, 2026 15:30
✓Model correct — prediction Utrecht
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
6
2.28
Actual xG
0.62
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
55.21%
Utrecht ←
25.66%
X
19.13%
GO
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Utrecht)
55.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
2.28
+0.69
0.89
0.62
-0.27
Utrecht dominated by xG (2.28 vs 0.62).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
