Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 22, 2026 17:45
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
7
2.50
Actual xG
1.73
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
33.94%
Groningen ←
26.21%
X
39.85%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Groningen)
33.94%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
2.50
+1.32
1.48
1.73
+0.25
Groningen dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.73).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
