Super League
· Regular Season - 26
March 22, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Olympiakos Piraeus, result Pareggio
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
2
2.40
Actual xG
0.29
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
0
Pre-match prediction
74.3%
Olympiakos
17.4%
X ←
8.3%
Larisa
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.43
2.40
-0.03
0.71
0.29
-0.42
Olympiakos Piraeus dominated by xG (2.40 vs 0.29).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
