MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
1.21
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
37.51%
St. ←
31.12%
X
31.37%
New
we assigned to the actual result (St. Louis City)
37.51%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.91
1.12
-0.79
1.16
1.21
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (1.12 – 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
