MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 19:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
8
1.28
Actual xG
1.45
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
45.09%
New
27.57%
X
27.34%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter Miami)
27.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.11
1.28
-1.83
0.87
1.45
+0.58
xG dominance was balanced (1.28 – 1.45).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
