MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 20:30
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
0.97
Actual xG
0.64
32%
Possession
68%
4
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
34.38%
Minnesota
31.05%
X ←
34.57%
Seattle
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.97
-0.44
1.48
0.64
-0.85
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (0.97 vs 0.64).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
