Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 18:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
0.76
Actual xG
2.04
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
28.66%
FC
29.64%
X
41.7%
SC ←
we assigned to the actual result (SC Freiburg)
41.7%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
0.76
-0.25
1.15
2.04
+0.89
SC Freiburg dominated by xG (2.04 vs 0.76).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
