Serie A
· Regular Season - 30
March 22, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
1.60
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
40.91%
Bologna
31.68%
X
27.41%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio)
27.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.35
+0.33
0.88
1.60
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
