Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 14
March 27, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
2.00
Actual xG
0.61
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
29.3%
Águilas ←
43.86%
X
26.84%
Alianza
we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas)
29.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
2.00
+1.46
0.62
0.61
-0.01
Águilas Doradas dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
