Liga BetPlay
· Regular Season - 14
March 28, 2026 22:00
✓Model correct — prediction Cucuta
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.59
Actual xG
1.57
36%
Possession
64%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
61.34%
Cucuta ←
21.57%
X
17.09%
Chico
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Cucuta)
61.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.33
0.59
-1.74
0.60
1.57
+0.97
Chico dominated by xG (1.57 vs 0.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
