Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 5
March 30, 2026 02:30
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
3
1.42
Actual xG
0.81
46%
Possession
54%
1
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
46.27%
Atletico ←
26.91%
X
26.81%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
46.27%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.28
1.42
-0.86
0.72
0.81
+0.09
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.42 vs 0.81).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
