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Serie B · Regular Season - 33 April 06, 2026 21:30

Carrarese

#10 · 43 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Spezia

#20 · 33 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Carrarese

N. Calabrese (ast. E. Zuelli) 17'

M. Finotto (ast. S. Zanon) 23'

F. Abiuso (ast. L. Hasa) 63'

49' (ast. G. Artistico) M. Valoti

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.61

Actual xG

1.46

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

16'

G. Bonfanti

⚽N. Calabrese · ast. E. Zuelli

17'

⚽M. Finotto · ast. S. Zanon

23'

⚽F. Abiuso (missed pen.)

27'

45'+2

A. Mateju

46'

G. Lapadula / A. Mateju ↕

49'

ast. G. Artistico · M. Valoti⚽

M. Finotto

59'

⚽F. Abiuso · ast. L. Hasa

63'

69'

L. Vignali

70'

C. Comotto / L. Vignali ↕

↕ M. Finotto / F. Di Stefano

70'

↕ J. Rouhi / N. Belloni

70'

E. Adamo / F. Bandinelli ↕

79'

M. Ruggero / G. Aurelio ↕

↕ L. Hasa / N. Schiavi

79'

↕ S. Zanon / D. Bouah

85'

↕ F. Abiuso / T. Rubino

85'

M. Valoti

85'

A. Bellemo / A. Romano ↕

90'+2

G. Bonfanti

90'+6

C. Comotto

90'

E. Adamo

N. Belloni

90'

Pre-match prediction

58.73%

Carrarese ←

25.26%

16.01%

Spezia

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Carrarese) 58.73% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Carrarese

1.83

2.61

+0.78

Spezia

0.84

1.46

+0.62

Carrarese dominated by xG (2.61 vs 1.46). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	36	78
2	Monza	36	75
3	Frosinone	36	75
4	Palermo	36	69
5	Catanzaro	36	59
6	Modena	36	52
7	Juve Stabia	36	50
8	Avellino	36	46
9	Cesena	36	45
10	Carrarese	36	43
11	Mantova	36	43
12	Sampdoria	36	41
13	Sudtirol	36	40
14	Padova	36	40
15	Virtus Entella	36	39
16	Empoli	36	37
17	Pescara	36	34
18	Bari	36	34
19	Reggiana	36	34
20	Spezia	36	33

Lineups

Carrarese 3-5-2

Marco Bleve G 6.90

Fabio Ruggeri D 8.20

Filippo Oliana D 6.50

Nicolò Calabrese 1 ⚽ D 7.50

Jonas Rouhi 70' M 6.60

Luis Hasa 1 👟 79' M 7.50

Emanuele Zuelli 1 👟 M 7.30

Gabriele Parlanti M 7.30

Simone Zanon 1 👟 85' M 7.70

Mattia Finotto 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.20

Fabio Abiuso 1 ⚽ 85' F 6.90

Bench

Antonio Troise M

Dachi Lordkipanidze M

Devid Bouah 13' M 6.70

Ernesto Torregrossa F

Filippo Distefano 28' F 6.30

Filippo Melegoni M

Giovanni Garofani G

Niccolò Belloni 20' M 6.70

Nicolas Schiavi 19' M 6.60

Nikola Sekulov F

Tommaso Rubino 13' F 6.70

Vincenzo Fiorillo G

Spezia 3-5-1-1

Boris Radunović G 6.60

Giovanni Bonfanti D 6.20

Petko Hristov D 6.30

Aleš Matějů 45' D 5.70

Giuseppe Aurelio 79' M 6.00

Filippo Bandinelli 70' M 7.20

Alessandro Romano 85' M 6.70

Luca Vignali 70' M 6.20

Leonardo Sernicola M 6.30

Mattia Valoti 1 ⚽ 85' F 8.90

Gabriele Artistico 1 👟 F 6.30

Bench

Ádám Nagy M

Alessandro Bellemo 13' M 6.30

Andrea Bertoncini D

Christian Comotto 28' M 6.20

Diego Mascardi G

Emanuele Adamo 20' M 6.30

Emanuele Lorenzelli M

Gianluca Lapadula 53' F 6.70

Giuseppe Di Serio F

Leonardo Loria G

Marco Ruggero 19' D 6.70

Vanja Vlahović F

Best on the pitch

Mattia Valoti

F · Spezia

8.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

Fabio Ruggeri

D · Carrarese

8.20

1 shots · 54 pass

Simone Zanon

M · Carrarese

7.70

1 👟

· 14 pass

Nicolò Calabrese

D · Carrarese

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 30 pass

Luis Hasa

M · Carrarese

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 25 pass

Emanuele Zuelli

M · Carrarese

7.30

1 👟

· 54 pass

Carrarese — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Marco Bleve	G	98	6.90	—	—	—	25	18%	—	—	—
Fabio Ruggeri	D	98	8.20	—	—	1	54	46%	—	—	—
Filippo Oliana	D	98	6.50	—	—	—	35	26%	—	—	—
Nicolò Calabrese	D	98	7.50	1	—	1	30	24%	—	—	—
Jonas Rouhi	M	70	6.60	—	—	—	19	14%	—	—	—
Luis Hasa	M	79	7.50	—	1	1	25	18%	2	—	—
Emanuele Zuelli	M	98	7.30	—	1	—	54	46%	—	—	—
Gabriele Parlanti	M	98	7.30	—	—	2	28	24%	2	—	—
Simone Zanon	M	85	7.70	—	1	—	14	8%	—	—	—
Mattia Finotto	F	70	7.20	1	—	1	7	5%	—	1	—
Fabio Abiuso	F	85	6.90	1	—	3	12	8%	—	—	—
Devid Bouah	M	13	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Filippo Distefano	F	28	6.30	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
Niccolò Belloni	M	20	6.70	—	—	1	14	13%	1	—	1
Nicolas Schiavi	M	19	6.60	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
Tommaso Rubino	F	13	6.70	—	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—

Spezia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Boris Radunović	G	98	6.60	—	—	—	21	12%	—	—	—
Giovanni Bonfanti	D	92	6.20	—	—	—	46	39%	2	1	1
Petko Hristov	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	41	34%	2	—	—
Aleš Matějů	D	45	5.70	—	—	—	23	17%	—	1	—
Giuseppe Aurelio	M	79	6.00	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—
Filippo Bandinelli	M	70	7.20	—	—	1	36	30%	3	—	—
Alessandro Romano	M	85	6.70	—	—	1	40	31%	1	—	—
Luca Vignali	M	70	6.20	—	—	2	17	13%	—	1	—
Leonardo Sernicola	M	98	6.30	—	—	—	34	30%	—	—	—
Mattia Valoti	F	85	8.90	1	—	2	39	34%	6	—	1
Gabriele Artistico	F	98	6.30	—	1	1	10	7%	—	—	—
Alessandro Bellemo	M	13	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
Christian Comotto	M	28	6.20	—	—	—	5	3%	—	1	—
Emanuele Adamo	M	20	6.30	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	1
Gianluca Lapadula	F	53	6.70	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Marco Ruggero	D	19	6.70	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—