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Premier League · Regular Season - 34 April 22, 2026 23:00
Burnley
#19 · 20 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Manchester City
#2 · 70 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Manchester City
5' (ast. J. Doku) E. Haaland
Match statistics
5
Total shots
18
1
Shots on target
9
0.57
Actual xG
3.15
8
Saves
1
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
11
23
Tackles
12
Match Events
5'
ast. J. Doku · E. Haaland⚽
65'
Nico / R. Ait-Nouri ↕
65'
Savinho / A. Semenyo ↕
↕ L. Tchaouna / L. Foster
72'
↕ Z. Flemming / A. Broja
82'
↕ B. Humphreys / Florentino
82'
↕ J. Laurent / M. Edwards
87'
↕ J. Anthony / M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
87'
Pre-match prediction
8.9%
Burnley
15.27%
X
75.83%
Manchester ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Manchester City) 75.83% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Burnley
0.79
0.57
-0.22
Manchester
2.70
3.15
+0.45
Manchester City dominated by xG (3.15 vs 0.57). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 34 73
2 Manchester City Manchester City 33 70
3 Manchester United Manchester United 34 61
4 Liverpool Liverpool 34 58
5 Aston Villa Aston Villa 34 58
6 Brighton Brighton 34 50
7 Bournemouth Bournemouth 34 49
8 Chelsea Chelsea 34 48
9 Brentford Brentford 34 48
10 Fulham Fulham 34 48
11 Everton Everton 34 47
12 Sunderland Sunderland 34 46
13 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 33 43
14 Newcastle Newcastle 34 42
15 Leeds Leeds 34 40
16 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 34 39
17 West Ham West Ham 34 36
18 Tottenham Tottenham 34 34
19 Burnley Burnley 34 20
20 Wolves Wolves 34 17
Lineups
Burnley Burnley 5-4-1
1 Martin Dúbravka Martin Dúbravka G 9.70
3 Quilindschy Hartman Quilindschy Hartman D 7.20
5 Maxime Estève Maxime Estève D 7.20
18 Hjalmar Ekdal Hjalmar Ekdal D 6.90
12 Bashir Humphreys Bashir Humphreys 82' D 6.60
2 Kyle Walker Kyle Walker D 7.00
11 Jaidon Anthony Jaidon Anthony 87' M 6.70
29 Josh Laurent Josh Laurent 87' M 6.20
20 James Ward-Prowse James Ward-Prowse M 7.30
17 Loum Tchaouna Loum Tchaouna 72' M 6.30
19 Zian Flemming Zian Flemming 82' F 6.60
Bench
27 Armando Broja Armando Broja 13' F 6.70
16 Florentino Luís Florentino Luís 13' M 6.60
4 Joe Worrall Joe Worrall D
8 Lesley Ugochukwu Lesley Ugochukwu M
23 Lucas Pires Lucas Pires D
9 Lyle Foster Lyle Foster 23' F 6.60
10 Marcus Edwards Marcus Edwards 8' F 6.30
13 Max Weiss Max Weiss G
31 Mike Trésor Mike Trésor 8' F 6.50
Manchester City Manchester City 4-2-3-1
25 Gianluigi Donnarumma Gianluigi Donnarumma G 7.20
21 Rayan Aït-Nouri Rayan Aït-Nouri 65' D 6.90
15 Marc Guéhi Marc Guéhi D 7.00
45 Abdukodir Khusanov Abdukodir Khusanov D 7.60
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 7.30
33 Nico O'Reilly Nico O'Reilly M 7.00
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva M 7.20
11 Jérémy Doku Jérémy Doku 1 👟 M 6.60
10 Rayan Cherki Rayan Cherki M 7.70
42 Antoine Semenyo Antoine Semenyo 65' M 6.30
9 Erling Haaland Erling Haaland 1 ⚽ F 7.70
Bench
1 James Trafford James Trafford G
5 John Stones John Stones D
8 Mateo Kovačić Mateo Kovačić M
6 Nathan Ake Nathan Ake D
14 Nico González Nico González 30' M 6.90
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush F
47 Phil Foden Phil Foden M
26 Savinho Savinho 30' F 6.90
4 Tijjani Reijnders Tijjani Reijnders M
Best on the pitch
Martin Dúbravka
Martin Dúbravka
G · Burnley
9.70
· 41 pass
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland
F · Manchester
7.70
1 ⚽
4 shots · 12 pass
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki
M · Manchester
7.70
4 shots · 79 pass
Abdukodir Khusanov
Abdukodir Khusanov
D · Manchester
7.60
· 83 pass
James Ward-Prowse
James Ward-Prowse
M · Burnley
7.30
· 39 pass
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes
D · Manchester
7.30
· 89 pass
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Martin Dúbravka G 95 9.70 — — — 41 28% — — —
Quilindschy Hartman D 95 7.20 — — 1 32 20% 10 — —
Maxime Estève D 95 7.20 — — — 38 34% 1 — —
Hjalmar Ekdal D 95 6.90 — — — 40 33% 1 — —
Bashir Humphreys D 82 6.60 — — — 46 38% — — —
Kyle Walker D 95 7.00 — — — 35 25% 2 — —
Jaidon Anthony M 87 6.70 — — 1 20 17% 2 — —
Josh Laurent M 87 6.20 — — — 25 23% 2 — —
James Ward-Prowse M 95 7.30 — — — 39 34% 4 — —
Loum Tchaouna M 72 6.30 — — — 16 12% — — —
Zian Flemming F 82 6.60 — — 2 8 7% — — —
Armando Broja F 13 6.70 — — — 1 1% — — —
Florentino Luís M 13 6.60 — — — 5 3% — — —
Lyle Foster F 23 6.60 — — 1 1 1% 1 — —
Marcus Edwards F 8 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Mike Trésor F 8 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gianluigi Donnarumma G 95 7.20 — — — 20 18% — — —
Rayan Aït-Nouri D 65 6.90 — — 2 38 37% 1 — —
Marc Guéhi D 95 7.00 — — — 82 78% — — —
Abdukodir Khusanov D 95 7.60 — — — 83 78% 1 — —
Matheus Nunes D 95 7.30 — — — 89 83% 1 — —
Nico O'Reilly M 95 7.00 — — 4 51 44% — — —
Bernardo Silva M 95 7.20 — — — 92 78% 3 — —
Jérémy Doku M 95 6.60 — 1 1 49 38% 1 — —
Rayan Cherki M 95 7.70 — — 4 79 71% — — —
Antoine Semenyo M 65 6.30 — — 1 35 34% 1 — —
Erling Haaland F 95 7.70 1 — 4 12 8% — — —
Nico González M 30 6.90 — — 1 30 28% 2 — —
Savinho F 30 6.90 — — 1 11 10% 2 — —