Serie A
· Regular Season - 31
April 05, 2026 22:45
✓Model correct — prediction Inter
L. Martinez
(ast. M. Thuram)
1'
H. Calhanoglu
(ast. P. Zielinski)
45'
L. Martinez
(ast. M. Thuram)
52'
M. Thuram
(ast. H. Calhanoglu)
55'
N. Barella
63'
40'
(ast. D. Rensch)
G. Mancini
70'
L. Pellegrini
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
0.96
1
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
4
22
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽L. Martinez
· ast. M. Thuram
1'
40'
ast. D. Rensch ·
G. Mancini⚽
⚽H. Calhanoglu
· ast. P. Zielinski
45'
46'
D. Ghilardi
/
G. Mancini
⚽L. Martinez
· ast. M. Thuram
52'
⚽M. Thuram
· ast. H. Calhanoglu
55'
A. Bastoni
/ M. Darmian
58'
L. Martinez
/ A. Bonny
58'
58'
K. Tsimikas
/
D. Rensch
60'
Niccolò Pisilli
⚽N. Barella
63'
64'
S. El Shaarawy
/
M. Soule
H. Calhanoglu
/ P. Sucic
66'
M. Thuram
/ F. Esposito
67'
70'
L. Pellegrini⚽
P. Zielinski
/ H. Mkhitaryan
76'
81'
J. Ziolkowski
/
M. Hermoso
Pre-match prediction
65.63%
Inter ←
19.16%
X
15.2%
AS
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Inter)
65.63%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
1.17
-1.03
0.95
0.96
+0.01
xG dominance was balanced (1.17 – 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Yann Sommer
G
Yann Sommer
G
95
Alessandro Bastoni
58'
D
Alessandro Bastoni
58'
D
15
Francesco Acerbi
D
Francesco Acerbi
D
25
Manuel Akanji
D
Manuel Akanji
D
32
Federico Dimarco
M
Federico Dimarco
M
7
Piotr Zieliński
1 👟
76'
M
Piotr Zieliński
1 👟
76'
M
20
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
1 ⚽
1 👟
67'
M
23
Nicolò Barella
1 ⚽
M
Nicolò Barella
1 ⚽
M
2
Denzel Dumfries
M
Denzel Dumfries
M
10
Lautaro Martínez
2 ⚽
58'
F
Lautaro Martínez
2 ⚽
58'
F
9
Marcus Thuram
1 ⚽
2 👟
66'
F
Marcus Thuram
1 ⚽
2 👟
66'
F
Bench
17
Andy Diouf
M
Andy Diouf
M
14
Ange-Yoan Bonny
32'
F
Ange-Yoan Bonny
32'
F
16
Davide Frattesi
M
Davide Frattesi
M
94
Francesco Pio Esposito
24'
F
Francesco Pio Esposito
24'
F
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
14'
M
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
14'
M
13
Josep Martínez
G
Josep Martínez
G
11
Luís Henrique
F
Luís Henrique
F
43
Matteo Cocchi
D
Matteo Cocchi
D
36
Matteo Darmian
32'
D
Matteo Darmian
32'
D
8
Petar Sučić
23'
M
Petar Sučić
23'
M
12
Raffaele Di Gennaro
G
Raffaele Di Gennaro
G
6
Stefan de Vrij
D
Stefan de Vrij
D
99
Mile Svilar
G
Mile Svilar
G
22
Mario Hermoso
81'
D
Mario Hermoso
81'
D
5
Evan Ndicka
D
Evan Ndicka
D
23
Gianluca Mancini
1 ⚽
45'
D
Gianluca Mancini
1 ⚽
45'
D
2
Devyne Rensch
1 👟
58'
M
Devyne Rensch
1 👟
58'
M
61
Niccolò Pisilli
M
Niccolò Pisilli
M
4
Bryan Cristante
M
Bryan Cristante
M
19
Zeki Çelik
M
Zeki Çelik
M
7
Lorenzo Pellegrini
1 ⚽
F
Lorenzo Pellegrini
1 ⚽
F
18
Matías Soulé
64'
F
Matías Soulé
64'
F
14
Donyell Malen
F
Donyell Malen
F
Bench
3
Angeliño
D
Angeliño
D
97
Bryan Zaragoza
F
Bryan Zaragoza
F
87
Daniele Ghilardi
45'
D
Daniele Ghilardi
45'
D
70
Giorgio De Marzi
G
Giorgio De Marzi
G
24
Jan Ziółkowski
9'
D
Jan Ziółkowski
9'
D
12
Konstantinos Tsimikas
32'
D
Konstantinos Tsimikas
32'
D
20
Lorenzo Venturino
F
Lorenzo Venturino
F
8
Neil El Aynaoui
M
Neil El Aynaoui
M
95
Pierluigi Gollini
G
Pierluigi Gollini
G
78
Robinio Vaz
F
Robinio Vaz
F
92
Stephan El Shaarawy
26'
F
Stephan El Shaarawy
26'
F
Best on the pitch
Marcus Thuram
F · Inter
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
2 shots
· 15 pass
Lautaro Martínez
F · Inter
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
M · Inter
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 45 pass
Nicolò Barella
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 61 pass
Ange-Yoan Bonny
F · Inter
7.70
· 10 pass
Lorenzo Pellegrini
F · AS
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Inter — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yann Sommer | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 42% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Francesco Acerbi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 52 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 76 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | M | 67 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolò Barella | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| Denzel Dumfries | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Martínez | F | 58 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcus Thuram | F | 66 | 9.30 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | F | 32 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Darmian | D | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Petar Sučić | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
AS Roma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mile Svilar | G | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 81 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 45 | 6.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Cristante | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 4 | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Soulé | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Donyell Malen | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Konstantinos Tsimikas | D | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |