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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 19:30
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 57 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Hamburger SV
#15 · 31 pts
✓Model correct — prediction VfB Stuttgart
A. Stiller (ast. J. Leweling) 21'
C. Fuhrich (ast. E. Demirovic) 32'
M. Mittelstadt (ast. C. Fuhrich) 56'
B. El Khannouss (ast. T. Tomas) 86'
Match statistics
16
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
5
3.64
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Stiller · ast. J. Leweling
21'
Chema Andrés
24'
⚽C. Fuhrich · ast. E. Demirovic
32'
⚽M. Mittelstadt · ast. C. Fuhrich
56'
60'
O. Stange / R. Philippe ↕
60'
R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek ↕
67'
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
70'
↕ E. Demirovic / T. Tomas
70'
↕ C. Fuhrich / B. El Khannouss
70'
72'
G. Gocholeishvili / F. Balde ↕
72'
N. Capaldo / D. Elfadli ↕
Deniz Undav
80'
80'
Nicolás Capaldo
81'
⚽B. El Khannouss · ast. T. Tomas
86'
↕ L. Assignon / J. Vagnoman
88'
↕ D. Undav / Jeremy Arevalo
88'
Pre-match prediction
71.41%
VfB ←
15.67%
X
12.93%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 71.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.78
3.64
+0.86
Hamburger
1.14
0.61
-0.53
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33 Alexander Nübel Alexander Nübel G 7.30
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt Maximilian Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ D 9.90
24 Jeff Chabot Jeff Chabot D 8.20
3 Ramon Hendriks Ramon Hendriks D 7.50
22 Lorenz Assignon Lorenz Assignon 88' D 6.90
6 Angelo Stiller Angelo Stiller 1 ⚽ M 7.90
30 Chema Andrés Chema Andrés 70' M 7.20
10 Chris Führich Chris Führich 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.90
26 Deniz Undav Deniz Undav 88' M 7.20
18 Jamie Leweling Jamie Leweling 1 👟 M 7.30
9 Ermedin Demirović Ermedin Demirović 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
11 Bilal El Khannouss Bilal El Khannouss 1 ⚽ 20' M 8.20
23 Dan-Axel Zagadou Dan-Axel Zagadou D
1 Fabian Bredlow Fabian Bredlow G
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D
25 Jeremy Arevalo Jeremy Arevalo 2' F
4 Josha Vagnoman Josha Vagnoman 2' D
14 Luca Jaquez Luca Jaquez D
28 Nikolas Nartey Nikolas Nartey 20' M 7.00
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 1 👟 20' F 7.30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 6.60
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli 72' D 6.30
25 Jordan Torunarigha Jordan Torunarigha D 6.70
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 5.90
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 72' M 6.50
21 Nicolai Remberg Nicolai Remberg M 6.20
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 60' M 6.30
2 William Mikelbrencis William Mikelbrencis M 6.50
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.00
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 60' F 6.50
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.50
Bench
19 Damion Downs Damion Downs F
16 Giorgi Gocholeishvili Giorgi Gocholeishvili 18' D 6.50
40 Hannes Hermann Hannes Hermann G
24 Nicolás Capaldo Nicolás Capaldo 18' M 6.50
3 Noah Katterbach Noah Katterbach D
49 Otto Stange Otto Stange 30' F 6.70
27 Philip Otele Philip Otele F
9 Robert Glatzel Robert Glatzel 30' F 6.20
43 Shafiq Nandja Shafiq Nandja D
Best on the pitch
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt
D · VfB
9.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
Chris Führich
Chris Führich
M · VfB
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 34 pass
Jeff Chabot
Jeff Chabot
D · VfB
8.20
1 shots · 73 pass
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss
M · VfB
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 78 pass
Ramon Hendriks
Ramon Hendriks
D · VfB
7.50
· 58 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alexander Nübel G 90 7.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 90 9.90 1 — 3 63 55% 4 — —
Jeff Chabot D 90 8.20 — — 1 73 67% 2 — —
Ramon Hendriks D 90 7.50 — — — 58 52% 1 — —
Lorenz Assignon D 88 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Angelo Stiller M 90 7.90 1 — 1 78 70% 2 — —
Chema Andrés M 70 7.20 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
Chris Führich M 70 8.90 1 1 4 34 28% 1 — —
Deniz Undav M 88 7.20 — — 4 39 29% — 1 —
Jamie Leweling M 90 7.30 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
Ermedin Demirović F 70 6.90 — 1 1 16 14% — — —
Bilal El Khannouss M 20 8.20 1 — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Jeremy Arevalo F 2 — — — — 4 2% — — —
Josha Vagnoman D 2 — — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Nikolas Nartey M 20 7.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Tiago Tomás F 20 7.30 — 1 — 5 5% 1 — —
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 90 6.60 — — — 57 33% — — —
Daniel Elfadli D 72 6.30 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
Jordan Torunarigha D 90 6.70 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 5.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Fabio Baldé M 72 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
Nicolai Remberg M 90 6.20 — — — 38 29% — — —
Albert Grønbæk M 60 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
William Mikelbrencis M 90 6.50 — — — 19 14% 4 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.00 — — 1 28 27% — — —
Rayan Philippe F 60 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 2 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 6.50 — — 4 13 9% — — —
Giorgi Gocholeishvili D 18 6.50 — — — 8 8% — — —
Nicolás Capaldo M 18 6.50 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
Otto Stange F 30 6.70 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Robert Glatzel F 30 6.20 — — 1 4 1% — — —