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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 25, 2026 20:30
Hamburger SV
#15 · 31 pts
1 – 2
Final score
1899 Hoffenheim
#5 · 57 pts
✓Model correct — prediction 1899 Hoffenheim
R. Glatzel 34' (pen.)
18' (ast. V. Coufal) F. Asllani
45' (ast. A. Hajdari) T. Lemperle
Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
1.35
Actual xG
1.45
4
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
4
Corners
9
22
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
8'
R. Hranac
18'
ast. V. Coufal · F. Asllani⚽
32'
O. Baumann
⚽R. Glatzel (pen.)
34'
45'
ast. A. Hajdari · T. Lemperle⚽
46'
Bernardo / R. Hranac ↕
N. Remberg
49'
64'
G. Promel / F. Asllani ↕
↕ R. Glatzel / O. Stange
64'
68'
G. Promel
71'
W. Burger
75'
A. Prass / A. Kramaric ↕
↕ W. Mikelbrencis / A. S. Lokonga
75'
↕ B. Jatta / G. Gocholeishvili
75'
85'
C. Campbell / B. Toure ↕
85'
M. Moerstedt / T. Lemperle ↕
↕ A. Gronbaek / D. Downs
88'
↕ W. Omari / R. Philippe
88'
A. S. Lokonga
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
22.17%
Hamburger
18.94%
X
58.89%
1899 ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (1899 Hoffenheim) 58.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Hamburger
1.25
1.35
+0.1
1899
2.44
1.45
-0.99
xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.45). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 31 82
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 31 67
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 31 62
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 31 57
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 31 57
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 31 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 31 43
8 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 31 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 31 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 31 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 32
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 31 32
13 Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 32
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 31
15 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 31 31
16 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 31 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 31 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 31 22
Lineups
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1 Daniel Fernandes Daniel Fernandes G 7.50
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari 88' D 6.70
25 Jordan Torunarigha Jordan Torunarigha D 7.20
24 Nicolás Capaldo Nicolás Capaldo D 6.90
2 William Mikelbrencis William Mikelbrencis 75' M 7.00
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 88' M 6.90
21 Nicolai Remberg Nicolai Remberg M 6.30
18 Bakery Jatta Bakery Jatta 75' M 6.30
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.30
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 7.00
9 Robert Glatzel Robert Glatzel 1 ⚽ 64' F 8.00
Bench
6 Albert Sambi Lokonga Albert Sambi Lokonga 15' M 6.60
19 Damion Downs Damion Downs 2' F
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli M
16 Giorgi Gocholeishvili Giorgi Gocholeishvili 15' D 6.60
3 Noah Katterbach Noah Katterbach D
49 Otto Stange Otto Stange 26' F 6.20
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 2' F
12 Sander Tangvik Sander Tangvik G
43 Shafiq Nandja Shafiq Nandja D
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3-4-2-1
1 Oliver Baumann Oliver Baumann G 6.50
21 Albian Hajdari Albian Hajdari 1 👟 D 7.30
5 Ozan Kabak Ozan Kabak D 7.50
2 Robin Hranáč Robin Hranáč 45' D 6.50
29 Bazoumana Touré Bazoumana Touré 85' M 6.50
18 Wouter Burger Wouter Burger M 6.70
7 Leon Avdullahu Leon Avdullahu M 7.50
34 Vladimir Coufal Vladimir Coufal 1 👟 M 7.90
27 Andrej Kramarić Andrej Kramarić 75' F 6.20
11 Fisnik Asllani Fisnik Asllani 1 ⚽ 64' F 6.70
19 Tim Lemperle Tim Lemperle 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20
Bench
22 Alexander Prass Alexander Prass 15' D 6.20
13 Bernardo Bernardo 45' D 6.90
20 Cole Campbell Cole Campbell 10' F 6.30
6 Grischa Promel Grischa Promel 26' M 6.30
9 Ihlas Bebou Ihlas Bebou F
25 Kevin Akpoguma Kevin Akpoguma D
37 Luca Philipp Luca Philipp G
33 Max Moerstedt Max Moerstedt 10' F 6.60
10 Muhammed Damar Muhammed Damar M
Best on the pitch
Robert Glatzel
Robert Glatzel
F · Hamburger
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Vladimir Coufal
Vladimir Coufal
M · 1899
7.90
1 👟
· 39 pass
Leon Avdullahu
Leon Avdullahu
M · 1899
7.50
· 78 pass
Ozan Kabak
Ozan Kabak
D · 1899
7.50
2 shots · 55 pass
Daniel Fernandes
Daniel Fernandes
G · Hamburger
7.50
· 49 pass
Fábio Vieira
Fábio Vieira
F · Hamburger
7.30
· 29 pass
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel Fernandes G 90 7.50 — — — 49 23% — — —
Warmed Omari D 88 6.70 — — — 38 34% 3 — —
Jordan Torunarigha D 90 7.20 — — — 26 21% 3 — —
Nicolás Capaldo D 90 6.90 — — — 28 21% 4 — —
William Mikelbrencis M 75 7.00 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Albert Grønbæk M 88 6.90 — — 1 27 19% 3 — —
Nicolai Remberg M 90 6.30 — — 1 37 30% 1 1 —
Bakery Jatta M 75 6.30 — — 3 17 14% 1 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.30 — — — 29 23% 3 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 7.00 — — 1 18 11% 2 — —
Robert Glatzel F 64 8.00 1 — 1 13 10% — — —
Albert Sambi Lokonga M 15 6.60 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Damion Downs F 2 — — — — — — — — —
Giorgi Gocholeishvili D 15 6.60 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
Otto Stange F 26 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Rayan Philippe F 2 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Oliver Baumann G 90 6.50 — — — 24 18% — 1 —
Albian Hajdari D 90 7.30 — 1 — 45 37% 1 — —
Ozan Kabak D 90 7.50 — — 2 55 45% 2 — —
Robin Hranáč D 45 6.50 — — — 30 23% — 1 —
Bazoumana Touré M 85 6.50 — — 2 19 18% 2 — —
Wouter Burger M 90 6.70 — — 2 48 36% 4 1 —
Leon Avdullahu M 90 7.50 — — — 78 74% — — —
Vladimir Coufal M 90 7.90 — 1 — 39 26% 2 — —
Andrej Kramarić F 75 6.20 — — — 32 25% — — —
Fisnik Asllani F 64 6.70 1 — 2 20 17% 1 — —
Tim Lemperle F 85 7.20 1 — 2 20 17% — — —
Alexander Prass D 15 6.20 — — — — — — — —
Bernardo D 45 6.90 — — — 13 8% 1 — —
Cole Campbell F 10 6.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
Grischa Promel M 26 6.30 — — 1 9 6% 1 1 —
Max Moerstedt F 10 6.60 — — — 1 — — — —