Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 16:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave 1. FC Köln a 41% win probability (draw 28%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 29%). The final result was 1. FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 1 previous meetings, 1. FC Köln have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
1.55
Actual xG
1.14
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
41.42%
1.
28.98%
X ←
29.59%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.55
+0.39
1.08
1.14
+0.05
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was 1. FC Köln 3–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 41% probability to a 1. FC Köln win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.